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The Philippines Oil & Gas Report

 

The Philippines Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies, and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Philippines oil and gas industry.

Price: $895 includes airmail and email delivery PLUS 3 quarterly updates

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 OVERVIEW / CONTENTS RELATED PRODUCTS / ORDER


Benchmark Independent 5-Year Oil & Gas Industry Forecast for Philippines to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Philippines oil and gas market.

Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Oil & Gas Sector through reviews of the latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects, and investments in Philippines. 

Exploit the Latest Competitive Philippines Oil & Gas Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share and ownership structure - includes multi national and national companies in Philippines.


OVERVIEW:

Key Insights into the Oil & Gas Sector of Philippines

The latest Philippines Oil & Gas Report from BMI forecasts that the country will account for 1.28% of Asia/Pacific regional oil demand by 2010, while providing 0.77% of supply. Asia/Pacific regional oil demand rose to an estimated 24.74mn b/d last year and should average 25.36mn b/d in 2007, before reaching 27.64mn b/d by 2010. Asia/Pacific gas consumption in 2006 is estimated at 419bcm, with demand of 602bcm targeted for 2010. Production last year of 342bcm should reach 490bcm by the end of the decade. The Philippines’ share of consumption in 2006 was an estimated 1.43%, while its share of production is put at 1.75%. By 2010, its share of demand is forecast to be 5.81%, with the country accounting for 7.14% of supply.

For the whole of last year, our preliminary estimates of average prices are US$61.30 per barrel for the OPEC basket, US$65.03 for Brent, US$66.24/bbl for WTI and US$61.30 for Urals. For 2007, the revised BMI forecasts are for the OPEC basket to average US$55 per barrel. Based on last year’s typical price differentials, this implies Brent at US$58.72, WTI averaging US$59.94/bbl, and Urals at US$55 per barrel. Our central view is that the OPEC basket price will slip from US$55/bbl this year to US$50 in 2008, before settling around US$45/bbl in 2009/2010.

The Philippines’ real GDP growth is forecast by BMI at 4.9% for 2007, down from an estimated 5.2% in 2006. We are assuming 4.5% growth in 2008, followed by 4.3% in 2009/10. There is IOC and national company (PNOC) involvement in domestic upstream activities, leading to substantial gas output growth and some modest liquids expansion. We are assuming oil and gas liquids production of no more than 60,000b/d by 2010/11, with the country pumping an estimated 56,000b/d last year. Consumption is forecast to increase by 1-3% per annum to 2010, implying demand of 366,000b/d by the end of the forecast period. The import requirement would therefore be approximately 306,000b/d by 2011. Gas supply and demand is forecast to increase from an estimated 6bcm last year to 40bcm by 2011.

In the BMI Business Environment Ranking matrix, the Philippines receives an unchanged composite score of 30 which now ranks the country equal ninth out of 14 states included in the Asia/Pacific region, alongside Pakistan and Japan. The overall business environment can be considered neutral in a regional context, thanks largely to a particularly high level of perceived long-term economic risk offsetting a respectable rate of upstream oil and gas output growth, an above-average reserves-to-production ratio (RPR) and a benign regulatory/competitive regime. The licensing and production sharing system is acceptable, but opportunities are somewhat limited in the upstream segment. Royal Dutch Shell’s Malampaya project is providing healthy output growth and accounts for the strong reserves position. The downstream oil market is very competitive and delivers below average returns to domestic companies and IOCs.

Coverage includes:

Executive Summary
Summary of key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand, refining, coal and power, and primary energy, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.

Regional Overview
Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports; overview of industry landscape and key players; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments.

Business Environment Rankings
A unique comparative study on the relative business climates across all regional markets covered. A rankings table highlights the merits of each market from an investor angle, giving scores for indicators such as Oil & Gas Supply and Demand Growth, Oil & Gas Reserves, Licensing Framework and the local Competitive Environment, as well as Economic and Political Risk.

Oil Market Outlook
Analyzes and forecasts oil prices out to 2011, monitoring supply and demand in terms of oil production and consumption across the region.

5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (000 b/d)
Oil exports (000 b/d), value of oil exports (US$mn - BMI base case) - Oil price (US$/bbl, OPEC basket)
Value of oil exports at constant US$30/bbl and constant US$60/bbl (US$mn)
Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)
Gas exports/(imports) (bcm)
Value of gas exports/(imports) (US$mn); value of gas exports/(imports) at constant US$30/bbl and US$60/bbl (US$mn)
Value of petroleum exports (US$mn); value of petroleum exports at constant US$30/bbl and US$60/bbl (US$mn)

5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
Forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, market cap/NAV, ownership structure, oil production (‘000 b/d) and % market share, downstream capacity (‘000 b/d) and % market share.

Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT analyses, senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.

.

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RELATED PRODUCTS:

Doing Business in Asia 

Doing Business with China 

The China Oil & Gas Report  

Who's Who in the CIS Oil & Gas Industry 

All Energy Resources


TABLE OF CONTENTS:

Chapter 1 - Executive Summary

Chapter 2 - SWOT Analysis

Philippines Economic SWOT

Philippines Political SWOT

Pakistan Business Environment SWOT

Chapter 3 - Regional Market Overview

Asia/Pacific Region

Table: Asia/Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d)

Table: Asia/Pacific Oil Production (000b/d)

Table: Asia/Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)

Table: Asia/Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm)

Table: Asia/Pacific Gas Production (bcm)

Table: Asia/Pacific LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm)

The Philippines

Chapter 4 - Business Environment Rankings

The Philippines

Asia/Pacific Region

Chapter 5 - Philippines Business Environment Ranking

Economics – Long-Term Risk

Politics – Long-Term Risk

Oil & Gas Growth

Oil/Gas Reserves

Licensing/Regulation

Competitive Environment

Chapter 6 - Business Environment Overview

Political Risk Summary

Economic Risk Summary

Business Environment Risk Summary

Legal Code/Corruption

Foreign Direct Investment

Tax Regime

Chapter 7 - Oil Market Outlook

Assessing The Risks

Table: Crude Price Forecasts 2007

Revised Forecasts

Table: Oil Price Forecasts

Chapter 8 - Regional Supply and Demand

Asia/Pacific

Table: Oil Production (000b/d) – Asia/Pacific

Table: Oil Consumption (000b/d) – Asia/Pacific

Chapter 9 - Global Picture

Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d)

Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d)

Chapter 10 - Industry Forecast Scenario

Oil and Gas Reserves

Oil Supply and Demand

Gas Supply and Demand

Refining and Oil Products Trade

Revenues/Import Costs

Table: Philippines Oil & Gas – Historical Data & Forecasts

Other Energy

Table: Philippines Other Energy – Historical Data & Forecasts

Key Risks to Forecast Scenario

Chapter 11 - Economic Outlook

Table: Philippines: Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts

Chapter 12 - Regional Case Study – ConocoPhillips

Table: Exploration And Production 2005

Table: Commercial Realisation – Refining And Marketing 2005

Chapter 13 - Competitive Landscape

Executive Summary

Table: Key Players – Philippines Oil & Gas Sector

Overview/State Role

Petron – Summary

Shell – Summary

Chevron – Summary

Table: Key Upstream Players

PTT – Summary

Total – Summary

Others – Summary

Kogas – Summary

Table: Key Downstream Players

PetroEnergy – Summary

Chapter 14 - Company Monitor

Philippines National Oil Company (PNOC)

Petron Corporation

Pilipinas Shell Petroleum

Caltex (Philippines)

Chapter 15 - BMI Forecast Modelling

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Energy Industry

Cross checks

Sources 


NO-RISK GUARANTEE:

Purchase The Philipines Oil & Gas Report with absolutely no risk. If you are not completely satisfied with your report, simply return it within 14 Days for a full refund.


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